We Joshua Ezeudu Jersey grinded away a small profit last weekend (2-1-1) and it couldve been sweeter if the stumbling got one more fourth-quarter stop against those Undertaker-esque .Oh well.As for this weekend, Ive got four college football bets and two NFL plays. Remember, this space isnt the place for a million picks or five-team parlays, either. These will always be the games I love the most.Lets go to work.ADVERTISEMENT Georgia Bulldogs (-5.5, O/U 55.5) vs. Alabama Crimson TideNick Saban is 10-1 in SEC Championships.If you dont believe me, look it up.Sabans Tide fell to Tim Tebows team in 2008, and aside from that game, its been pure dominance on this stage. Saban has also won 16 straight games in the city of Atlanta per Peter Burns of the SEC Network.Alabama is playing much better football than it was in September, which shouldnt be a surprise given how the last 25 years have played out. Georgia is legit, but Alabamas defense is the best unit the Dawgs will see to date.This feels like a 27-24 final either way.PICK: Alabama (+5.5) to lose by fewer than 5.5 points (or win outright)PICK: Under 55.5 points scored by both teams combinedFlorida State Lorenzo Carter Jersey Seminoles (-1, O/U 46.5) vs. Louisville CardinalsIts time to buy low on the Noles.If you listen to "" with Chris and Geoff, youll know Im not high on Florida State in the big picture, especially when you compare it to , Georgia and . But Louisville isnt anywhere close to those powerhouses. Anywhere I say.For me, its about the number. This line was nearly a touchdown when the ACC Championship market first opened, and now were at Florida State -1 and -1.5. Thats way, way too much of an overcorrection.FSU has three defensive studs in the front seven that youll see playing on Sundays soon, and it shouldnt matter if or starts at quarterback. The Seminoles are the better team from top to bottom.Period.PICK: Florida State (-1) to win by more than a pointMichigan vs. Iowa: Big Ten Championship best bets, predictions Deandre Baker Jersey and odds Michigan Wolverines (-21.5, O/U 35) vs. Iowa HawkeyesThis'll be a fun wager.Iowa struggled to move the ball against , , and . Those defenses are stingy, but they're far from great. So how many points will the Hawkeyes muster in the first half against mighty Michigan's elite D?Probably zero.DraftKings is dealing Iowa's first-half team total at O/U 2.5. So if you're betting the "Over," you need the Hawks to kick a field goal or score a touchdown in the first 30 minutes.Not so fast.Ill bite the bait and take the "Under," because I envision Michigan getting to the 40-yard line first, then punting it inside Iowas 10. And remember, Iowa is without top return man . Their field flipper cant help them and that's a very big deal.PICK: Iowa 1H TT Under 2.5 pointsSan Francisco 49ers (-3, O/U 48) @ Philadelphia EaglesI wrote about this matchup earlier this week for FOX.Las Vegas bookmaker Chris Andrews told me the Niners are the best team in football when healthy and boy, are they ever. Since they hit the bye week on a three-game losing streak, San Francisco has demolished by 31, by 13 and by 18.The games haven't been close.Meanwhile, the Eagles continue to squeak by in games in which they're outplayed. and were both better for three quarters the last two weeks. It's a testament to how tough an out the Eagles will be in the playoffs should they find their "A" game, but I've got the Niners by seven.PICK: 49ers (-3) to win by more than Dyontae Johnson Jersey 3 points49ers or Eagles have more to prove in Sunday matchup? Detroit Lions (-4, O/U 47) at New Orleans SaintsMost people will bet the Lions here and that's fine.Detroit is shaping up to be one of the most lopsided sides of the entire weekend and while that doesn't mean New Orleans is going to cover by any means, it makes me happy knowing I'll be betting with the house. Endle s parlays will have Lions -4 and Lions moneyline.The Saints have been an offensive me s, but star receiver was a full go at practice Friday, and he should be rippin' and roarin' to go against a Detroit secondary that gave up 94 yards and a touchdown to wideout .I'm also very curious to see how the Lions handle adversity just a week after their crushing lo s on Thanksgiving that basically nobody saw coming. Let's see what you've got Dan Campbell.PICK: Saints (+4) to lose by fewer than 4 points (or win outright) Matt Nelson Jersey 2023 Record: (29-30-2, -4.2)Sam Panayotovich is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and NESN. He previously worked for WGN Radio, NBC Sports and VSiN. He'll probably pick against your favorite team. Follow him on Twitter @spshoot.